The Finance Shelf

Material Adverse Change Clauses in M&A Transactions: The Impact of Macroeconomic Events (Baku State University Law Review)

Research paperBaku State University Law ReviewNovember 202620 pages30 min readFatima AliyevaOriginal source
Key number
5.8 billion dollars
Luxury hotel portfolio transaction value in AB Stable case p.6
Key number
15 properties
Hotel properties in AB Stable portfolio p.6
Key number
36 countries
Countries examined in macroeconomic acquisition research p.8

Summary

  • Mergers and acquisitions transactions feature an interim period between signing and closing where commercial assumptions and target conditions may change before completion.p.2
  • In AB Stable VIII LLC v. MAPS Hotels and Resorts One LLC, a buyer contracted to acquire a portfolio of 15 luxury hotel properties for $5.8 billion prior to a pandemic-related deal dispute.p.6
  • The Constitutional Court of the Republic of Azerbaijan issued a key decision on 7 September 2018 regarding judicial uncertainty in applying Article 422 of the Civil Code.p.3
  • Empirical evidence from corporate acquisitions across 36 countries demonstrates that macroeconomic conditions directly affect acquisition decisions and external finance availability.p.8
  • Article 422 of the Azerbaijani Civil Code sets out 4 cumulative legal conditions required for judicial modification or termination of a contract based on changed circumstances.p.16
  • Macroeconomic developments such as inflation and interest rate hikes are market-wide in origin but company-specific in their final operational impact.p.9

Key insights

  1. A general macroeconomic event does not automatically release a buyer from closing obligations unless the contractual MAC provision specifically allows it.p.3
  2. Operational adjustments taken during the interim period can trigger ordinary-course covenant breaches even when general economic shocks are carved out of a MAC clause.p.6
  3. Macroeconomic fluctuations such as changes in gross domestic product, inflation, and interest rates heighten the probability of deal failures or renegotiations prior to closing.p.7
  4. Under Delaware judicial precedent, post-signing discovery of a pre-existing condition does not itself constitute an interim material adverse change.p.11
  5. Courts evaluate MAC claims by assessing durational significance, determining whether an adverse decline threatens the target company's earnings potential over a commercially reasonable period.p.12
  6. Disproportionate effect exceptions preserve MAC protection if a market-wide downturn impacts the target substantially more severely than its industry peers.p.14
  7. Article 422.2.4 of the Azerbaijani Civil Code requires courts to evaluate whether the risk of changed circumstances was contractually assumed by the party seeking relief.p.17

Topics and entities

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