The Finance Shelf

Globalscape 2025: Race for Compute (Accel)

ReportAccelNovember 202564 pages96 min readOriginal source
Key number
$4.1T USD
Total Forecasted AI CapEx (2026-2030) p.38
Largest segment
Compute Infrastructure $2.3T
Largest AI CapEx Segment (2026-2030) p.38
What changed
+25% %
Globalscape Public Cloud Index YoY p.10

Summary

  • Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang estimates that $2T worth of data centers will power software globally over the next four to five years [p.4].p.4
  • The Super Six tech companies now account for ~50% of the NASDAQ market cap after adding $4.9T in market capitalization over the past year [p.7].p.8
  • Total EU, Israel, and US venture capital investment in Cloud & AI is projected to reach $184B in 2025E [p.21].p.21
  • US AI model funding reached $106B in 2025E, compared to $4B for Europe and Israel [p.22].p.22
  • A combined $3.1T in data center revenue is required over 5 years to achieve payback on expected CapEx from 2026 to 2030 [p.40].p.40

Key insights

  1. The Super Six companies generated $1.9T in combined CY24 revenue and $0.6T in operating cash flow [p.7].p.7
  2. Enterprise adoption of agentic software is driving growth, with Salesforce reaching ~$440M in 'Agentic' ARR [p.18].p.18
  3. European and Israeli cloud and AI application funding excluding models reached 66% of US levels in 2025E [p.26].p.26
  4. OpenAI model inference costs per 1M tokens declined by -97% over a 31-month period [p.32].p.32
  5. The 2025 Accel Europe AI 100 startups have raised $5.4B in total funding with average year-over-year employee growth of 122% [p.46].p.46

Topics and entities

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